Forecasting Success: Apply Yesterday's Weather

Hey Reader, Imagine it’s freezing outside—0°C—and you head out for a run.Would you expect it to hit 30°C the next day and leave the house in shorts and a T-shirt? Of course not. That would be wishful thinking. And yet… that’s exactly how many teams approach their workload. If your team consistently completes around 25 tasks per iteration, why expect them to suddenly deliver 100—just because someone asked?Especially if they’ve been stable for months. That’s where Yesterday’s Weather comes...